eNewsletter 2





The Sullivan Group Market Observer
Join Us At Our Upcoming Speaking Engagements

Sullivan Seminars
brought to you by

Jeffrey DeMure + Associates



Countrywide Home Loans





Hilton Pleasanton @ The Club
May 15, 2007

Hyatt Sacramento
May 16, 2007

Four Seasons Las Vegas
May 22, 2007

The Westin South Coast Plaza
May 23, 2007

Hilton La Jolla Torrey Pines
May 24, 2007

See what past attendees are saying about the Sullivan Seminars:

"Voice of reason through historical market outlook."
- Gwen Carrington, Pardee Homes

"Very insightful. Provides information that is bottom line-oriented, actionable."
- Para Anderson, KB Home


Click here to learn more about the Sullivan Seminars

Gothic 2007 Summit
Tim Sullivan
Valencia Hyatt
April 20, 2007

Spring Builder Economic Forecast Breakfast
Tim Sullivan and Jack Haynes
Countrywide Chandler Campus
Chandler, Arizona
May 17, 2007
7:15-10:00am
Attendance by invitation only

Homebuilding's Premier Conference & Tradeshow
Leader to Leader Forum
Tim Sullivan, Moderator
May 29 and May 30, 2007

Gold Nugget Awards
Tim Sullivan, Master of Ceremonies
May 31, 2007


Building for Boomers & Beyond: 50+ Housing Symposium
Housing for Boomers in a Changing World
Denver
Tim Sullivan
It’s Not Easy Being Green

Sullivan Group has been monitoring the movement toward green building in the residential industry for a few years. While we support the movement wholeheartedly, the homebuilding industry is not moving as rapidly as other industries to fully embrace all tenets of sustainability. We believe the key to moving the "greening of housing" forward is in the hands of the consumer, most of whom still do not recognize many of the benefits of a variety of elements, not the least of which is solar energy.

Why Solar Energy Still Has A Long Road Ahead

Do consumers perceive the value of solar power features and are homebuilders making strides to move toward a solar energy platform? Not really. But with the help of municipalities and a solar energy mandate, the homebuilding community will have to start to embrace this growing trend.

Sullivan Group recently conducted a survey for the Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) to get a feel for homebuilders' attitudes toward solar energy features in the new home market. What we found was homebuilders are hesitant to adopt energy efficient measures because buyers aren't clamoring for the next solar energy home.

Having surveyed top Sacramento area new homebuilders, here are some of their key concerns:


  • Demand: While solar power features may seem desirable, most builders do not believe solar energy is a priority for homebuyers. So demand, according to builders, simply doesn't run deep.

  • Cost: Not only are the internal costs of designing, implementing and supplying solar systems a top concern, but homebuilders believe the increased costs will soften demand even further. After all, price sways many buyers' decisions in today's market and builders don't see buyers paying more for a non-essential feature like energy efficiency.

  • Time Horizon: Although solar systems are said to pay for themselves only after five to seven years, many buyers do not plan on staying in their home that long. So the benefit of the cost savings becomes void.

  • Availability: The limited amount of manufacturers and installers of solar power systems is disconcerting for homebuilders.

  • Aesthetics: As one thing that solar energy has going for it, builders are no longer concerned with solar cells being an eye sore – thanks to streamlined and revamped solar systems.


  • Without homebuyers recognizing the need for energy efficient homes, however, homebuilders would rather wait it out. But here's the catch: A bill passed in California last year will mandate that all new home communities with 25 units or more offer solar power features as an option by 2011.

    To make this more feasible for homebuilders, we recommended that SMUD start raising awareness – something that all municipalities throughout California should join forces on. What are some things cities can do?

  • Reach out to the public about solar power and begin shaping perceptions that the technology is mainstream, and not futuristic.

  • Spread awareness to homebuyers about the cost-effectiveness, rather than only touting the "green" benefits.

  • Educate the public about the five- to seven-year time horizon (which is shorter than many buyers believe) and continue to shorten this timeline through ongoing technological advances.

  • Inform builders about the "million solar roofs" initiative (part of the bill passed last year) and how it can be met.

  • Assure builders that parts and installation expertise is available.

  • Spread the same message to builders as to buyers – that aside from its environmental benefits, solar energy features in new homes make economic sense.

  • Partner with builders in marketing solar features to the new home market.


  • With the "million solar roofs" initiative looming in the near future, it's obvious that builders will have to make the leap to a solar energy platform sometime soon. But the clear initiative for now? To get homebuyers on board.

    March 15, 2007
    Volume 8






    Without homebuyers recognizing the need for energy efficient homes, however, homebuilders would rather wait it out.
    - Tim Sullivan





    The Experts' Predictions
    Click here to see what Tim Sullivan had to say about Phoenix Metropolitan area's market outlook for 2007, as well as what other experts are predicting.


    Lofty market for Scottsdale luxury condos
    To get a glimpse of Scottsdale's luxury condo market and what people like Sullivan Group's Shaun McCutcheon are seeing on the ground, click here.


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